Stephanie Booth has been reading Taleb’s The Black Swan and twittering her impressions. I had forgotten until she reminded me that Taleb spends ample time on the human tendency to engage in simplification and storytelling when trying to make sense of the world. Taleb calls journalists “industrial producers of the distortion” and says anecdotes sway us more than abstract statistical information. His implication in the book (though Stephanie doesn’t read it this way) is that such activities are bad, bad, bad, in that they mislead us and misrepresent reality.*
But we need both, we need the abstract statistical information and we need stories to make sense of it.
The tension in nonfiction writing: Be accurate, but tell a story too
As I’ve been finding a way to express my observations of the webified world, I’ve realized that a central tension for nonfiction writers is between the need to tell a compelling story and the need to accurately represent the actual situation you’re talking about. At least that’s a tension for me, because I always want to wrap up my observations into something that makes some sense beyond just the details and data strung together linearly. And yet I don’t want to write B.S. that has no grounding in reality or rationality or research.
I’ve noticed that some ways I’ve come up with to describe what’s happening, for example the busyness vs. burstiness distinction or the connected age concept, tend to generate powerful responses, in a way that simple accurate and neutral reports don’t. The people who resonate with the story part of it don’t judge it from the standpoint of truth or falsity but rather from the perspective of how well it abstracts out the important parts of what’s happening and perhaps how well it makes an almost emotional case. The people who dislike it argue that it’s untrue, and then they pick it apart piece by piece, noting how it fails to correspond with reality.
How storytelling is like an abstract painting
There is something in that picking apart akin to dismissing an abstract painting because it’s not entirely faithfully true to life. Yet some of the most wonderful paintings are those that take what’s most meaningful or beautiful or painful and bringing that to the viewer’s attention.
Still, the best abstract paintings, in my opinion, come out of a deep respect for and knowledge of and skill in representing reality. As I’m learning to paint myself I realize that I will only produce an important and valuable abstract painting after I have spent years on learning composition, shades of value, shapes, color theory, and everything else required for creating realistic representational paintings.
The problem with nonfiction writing is that people don’t take it metaphorically or abstractly or creatively whereas people expect that paintings don’t always look like reality. People seem to want writing to be nonfiction or fiction with nothing in between. The Bible is the best example of that: on one side you have the true believers who say that it is all true and it all happened. On the other side you have the people who don’t believe and argue against it on rational grounds (e.g., people don’t rise from the dead). The power of it, though, may lie in the middle, in the stories it tells, in which people can find truth but of the metaphorical kind not of the “it really happened” sort. But that’s an argument I’ll make another day, and one I’ve made in the past to my religious friends with little success. Why? Why are we so lacking in the ability to speak in stories without taking them entirely literally?
What’s rationally true, what’s emotionally resonant
By chance, I picked up The Writer’s Survival Guide by Rachel Simon at the library over the weekend and blasted through it. I loved the book, but it annoyed me that she focused so much on fiction… didn’t she know, I wondered, that many people who want to write do so through nonfiction? And then I looked her up on the web today and found that since writing her survival guide she has quite successfully written emotionally-resonant nonfiction herself and she sees how storytelling matters in nonfiction too.
I used to think that being accurate and knowledgeable was the only key to intellectual honesty and success. Now I seek a balance between what’s rationally true and what’s emotionally resonant, and I find more and more I want to tell stories in addition to saying what’s true. Am I saying in another way that we need the left brain and the right brain together? Yes, I am.
* UPDATE: Stephanie points out in the comments here that the quote she tweeted was about the problem of “silent evidence” not about the so-called “narrative fallacy” but elsewhere in the book Taleb calls the narrative fallacy a fraud and says it “severely distorts our mental representations of the world.” My point remains the same: Taleb’s book generally argues against using narration to understand the world.

10 Comments
Your painting example is a wonderful application of your observation that in reality there isn’t a cold fiction/non-fiction bifurcation. Another application would be the law, especially contracts law, where there are many black-white (even dubbed “black letter law”) truths but more gray reasoning, argument, and application. But for some of the same core reasoning as your writing and painting examples — we are all humans requiring subtlety and the gray. It is what makes life interesting…
Actually, I hesitated a lot before twittering this quote, because the 140 characters allowed me to do so only out of context. Let me give you the complete quote:
“Remarkably, historians and other scholars in the humanities who need to understand silent evidence the most do not seem to have a name for it (and I looked hard). As for journalists, fuhgedaboutdit! They are industrial producers of the distortion.” (emphasis mine, p. 102)
Which distortion?
Here, Taleb is talking about the problem of silent evidence, not the narrative fallacy.
The bias he’s talking about here is what one could call “drowned worshippers do not write histories of their experiences” or “history is written by the winners”. We hear about those who prayed and were saved, not about those who prayed and drowned. We hear about the guy who won the lottery after buying a ticket every week for 10 years, not the one who didn’t.
It is in this way that Taleb says journalists are the industrial producers of this distortion. News is all about talking about what happened, as opposed to what didn’t happen.
As for the narrative fallacy, I don’t recall Taleb saying it is bad to narrate (I’ll try and dig up page and quote). At least, not “bad” as in “we should try to stop doing it”. It’s bad in the way that it makes us insert causality where it may not belong, and that is one of the reasons why we ignore Black Swans.
Thanks for the clarification, Stephanie. I read the book a while ago and don’t remember Taleb’s exact position on the narrative fallacy. Will check myself too.
Stephanie: I think Taleb’s clearly arguing against the narrative fallacy in the book, see p63: “The first of the problems of human nature that we examine in this section, the one just illustrated above, is what I call the narrative fallacy. (It is actually a fraud, but, to be more polite, I will call it a fallacy.) The fallacy is associated with our vulnerability to overinterpretation and our predilection for compact stories over raw truths. It severely distorts our mental representation of the world; it is particularly acute when it comes to the rare event.”
I think that the reason he argues so strongly against it is that his focus is “prediction of what is going to happen”. In that respect, the fact that humans naturally are drawn to narration doesn’t help (if one accepts his thesis that Black Swans are important, of course).
Contrast:
“If narrativity causes us to see past events as more predictable, more expected, and less random than they actually were, then we should be able to make it work for us as therapy against some of the stings of randomness.
[…]
Patients who spend fifteen minutes every day writing an account of their daily troubles feel indeed better about what has befallen them. You feel less guilty for not having avoided certain events; you feel less responsible for it. Things appear as if they were bound to happen.
If you work in a randomness-laden profession, as we see, you are likely to suffer burnout effects from that constant second-guessing of your past actions in terms of what played out subsequently. Keeping a diary is the least you can do in these circumstances.” (p. 73)
So, obviously, not evil in all circumstances
My favorite kind of non-fiction is the kind that tells a story. For whatever reason, my brain just latches onto points in stories with perfect clarity, but struggles with the drier stuff. I have noticed, too, that so many books on writing–not so much the style guides, as the “inspiration,” how-to kinds–focus more on fiction than non-fiction. I’m not entirely sure why, but they do. Maybe because writing a great novel is one of those “should-be” goals for a writer? As if, no matter how successfully they write in history or business or journalism, the “writer” vibe still requires fiction to truly count as a writer.
Oh, and have you seen the magazine, “Creative Nonfiction?” It’s all about writing and showcasing good nonfiction.
Great piece, Anne!
I was thinking about different writers as I read your piece. I think it would be interesting to create a matrix or some graphic that shows where non-fiction writers are in relation to each other.
I remember comparing Malcolm Gladwell with James Surowiecki (both writers for the New Yorker) when Blink and The Wisdom of Crowds came out. Gladwell is a tremendous story teller, but I just don’t believe all his assertions. Surowiecki, on the other hand, doesn’t quite have the narrative genius of Gladwell, but I trust his writing more. In the end, I would rely on Surowiecki’s arguments, but I often tell others of Gladwell more because of the power of his stories.
Deb: I definitely do better with stories too, I think it’s a bias most of us have (maybe not Taleb!) Thanks for the suggestion of Creative Nonfiction. I haven’t seen it but will check it out.
Joshua: I think of Gladwell and Surowiecki too in this context.
Anne,
I don’t think Taleb is against storytelling, otherwise his books wouldn’t be so richly narrative. What he is against is the use of simplified models to predict the future. Basically looking into the past to predict the future is overrated.
He is pretty close to Karl Popper.
“There is no history of mankind, there are only many histories of all kinds of aspects of human life. And one of these is the history of political power. This is elevated into the history of the world.”
Taleb says the same thing, just in a more accessible way.
His motto is
“My major hobby is teasing people who take themselves & the quality of their knowledge too seriously & those who don’t have the guts to sometimes say: I don’t know.…” (You may not be able to change the world but can at least get some entertainment & make a living out of the epistemic arrogance of the human race).
My thoughts on Taleb here. http://theotherthomasotter.wordpress.com/2007/07/11/fooled-by-randomness-black-swans-donkeys-and-turkeys/
I’m especially fond of the term Hindsight bias.
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